Complimentary from the publishers of Predictive Modeling News                May 3, 2013
	"While healthcare data analytics and predictive modeling properties are hot acquisition targets, I am not aware of any specific application in connection with M&A. I don’t keep track of M&A deals, but one of the biggest in the last few years was Aetna’s acquisition of Active Health and (more recently) McKesson’s acquisition of MedVentive, both of which had a significant predictive model component. I wouldn’t expect predictive modeling to be directly employed in M&A; after all, M&A is about markets, clients and financial projections, rather than the type of technical applications represented by PM. Even when an acquirer is evaluating a target, the acquirer does not have access to the type of detailed claims data that are needed to drive predictive models, and instead is generally limited to aggregate financial data.” Ian Duncan FSA FIA FCIA MAAA, Vice President, Outcomes & Analytics, and Head of Research, Walgreen Company
	Employee absence prevention health interventions are associated with a relative reduction in short-term disability incidence of 15% among employees at high risk of experiencing a disability in the next 12 months, according to a study of 118,000 American workers by global health services company Cigna. Excerpted from: Predictive Modeling News, Volume 6, Number 5, May 2013, Journal Review: Cigna Study Says Predictive Analytics Supporting a Nurse’s Intervention Can Reduce Employee Short-Term Disability by Up to 15%
	Q&A: Kaiser Permanente's CIO on Predictive Analytics and Other Challenges HealthLeaders Media, April 30, 2013
	Models Out-Perform Doctors in Predicting Cancer Patients' Responses to Treatment Science Daily, April 19, 2013
	Fraud prevention through prediction Healthcare Finance News, April 16, 2013
	How predictive modeling can prevent triple aim failures FierceHealthcare, April 12, 2013
	Medical Informatics: Predictive modeling enables ACO transition Clinical Innovatoin+Technology, April 11, 2013
	Enabling Analytics for Successful Accountable Care by by Phillip Fiero, Tamim Ahmed PhD MBA, David Hom and Krishna Daliparthi The State of Predictive Modeling by Stephen B. Walker MD Journal Review: Cigna Study; JAMA Article Probes Readmission Prediction; New Computer Model Takes a Page from Weather Forecasting; Researchers Seek Ways to Limit Unnecessary Lab Tests; Tracking Disease Transmission with Help of Twitter Tweets; Tracking Facebook Interests Helps Predict Area’s Obesity Rate Thought Leader’s Corner: “To what degree, if any, are you aware of predictive modeling applications being used in healthcare M&A analysis?” Industry News with briefs regarding American Sentinel University; Optum and SAS; Orion Bionetworks; SCIO Health Analytics; IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics Catching Up With…Ian Duncan Click here to view page one of this issue Click here to subscribe to Predictive Modeling News, or find out more
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