Complimentary from the publishers of Predictive Modeling News                July 2016
	“Essentially MACRA ends the special growth rate (non-)adjustment that was imposed in the mid-1990s and replaces it with an ACO-type solution. My experience of predictive modeling in ACOs was that it was difficult to get the physicians to understand what predictive modeling could do for them, or to understand what ‘high-risk’ meant. At the same time, physicians were very aware of the financial rewards that came from quality and meaningful use, which appeared larger and a lot more real than ACO gains, with the result that it was difficult to focus physicians on predictive modeling and their attendant programs. The purpose of the whole initiative is to further the penetration of ‘value-based purchasing’ into medicine. Predictive modeling’s cousin, risk adjustment, has a role to play in adjusting quality measures for underlying relative patient risk. But I am still not convinced that the measures that are reported actually measure value. Time will tell. Certainly judging by letters to the Wall Street Journal’s editorial page physicians are aware of the additional administrative burden.” -  Ian Duncan FSA FIA FCIA MAAA, Adjunct Professor of Actuarial Statistics, University of California, Santa Barbara
	"68.5% of stakeholders believe it is likely or very likely that a typical consumer will use online data/comparisons to discuss options and costs with a provider.” Excerpted from: Predictive Modeling News, Volume 9 Number 7, July 2016, Industry News: "Two-Thirds of Healthcare Stakeholders Have Faith in Consumers Using Online Tools to Engage With Doctors."
	How to Choose the Right Healthcare Big Data Analytics Tools HealthIT Analytics, July 1, 2016
	Mobile app uses analytics to predict hospital readmissions FierceHealthcare, June 24, 2016
	UnityPoint Health connects providers, hospitals with predictive analytics Healthcare IT News, June 10, 2016
	Healthcare Analytics: Quality and depth important to develop solutions Healthcare IT News, June 9, 2016
	How to Use Big Data for Tailored Population Health Management HealthIT Analytics, June 7, 2016
	Forecasting the Emergency Department Patients Flow Journal of Medical Systems, abstract only, June 7, 2016
	Using Analytics To Identify And Manage High-Risk and High-Cost Patients Health Affairs, abstract only, July 2016
	‘Data is Key’ to Cut Healthcare Spending, Boost Engagement HealthPayer Intelligence, June 6, 2016
	Weather or not: Thunderstorms and healthcare predictive analytics CIO.com, June 3, 2016
	Inaccurate Provider Directories: Time to Change an Unhealthy Inconvenience to Consumers by Mark Martin Using Predictive Analytics to Avoid Invasive and High-Cost Surgeries by Kevin Keck MD MS FACP Thought Leaders Corner: “How can healthcare systems best use predictive analytics to prepare for and participate in the MACRA APM or MIPS paths?” Industry News with briefs regarding MCOLBlog; Blue Medora; LexisNexis Risk Solutions; NIH; and Bernoulli. Catching Up With...Jacque J. Sokolov MD Click here to view page one of this issue Click here to subscribe to Predictive Modeling News, or find out more
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